Below are my 2016 Golden Globe winner predictions in the television categories. The Golden Globes can sometimes be unpredictable in where they lean for these categories, therefore these predictions are based upon common voting trends and show popularity.
Best Television Series – Drama
Will Win: Game of Thrones
Could Win: Outlander or Mr. Robot
Should Win: Game of Thrones
Game of Thrones is still riding high after its Emmy win for Best Drama Series, but it is very vulnerable in this category and poised to be upset. Outlander is a fiercely popular show that may have enough clout to unhinge Game of Thrones, while Mr. Robot is a new, critically acclaimed show that completely fits into the voting trend of Golden Globe members. Ironically what helps Game of Thrones’ chances is that it has never won the Golden Globe for Drama Series before, therefore voters may want to finally honor the show. It’s going to be a close one, but Game of Thrones just may win this one by a hair.
Best Television Series – Musical or Comedy
Will Win: Transparent
Could Win: Veep
Should Win: Veep
Transparent’s second season has gotten much praise and has proved that the show wasn’t a one-season-hit wonder. Also Transparent was last year’s Golden Globe winner and it will be hard to push the show from its throne. However, Veep’s recent win at the Emmys does give the HBO comedy series some momentum and it could easily steal Transparent’s thunder.
Best Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made for Television
Will Win: Fargo
Could Win: American Crime
Should Win: Fargo
FX’s second season of the anthology series, Fargo, was captivating, stunning, and even surpassed its first season in both plot and expectations. The mini-series was one of the finest points of television this year and it would be a travesty if it lost.
Best Performance by an Actor in a Television Series – Drama
Will Win: Rami Melek – Mr. Robot
Could Win: Jon Hamm – Mad Men
Should Win: Jon Ham – Mad Men
Jon Hamm barely won an Emmy for the final season of Mad Men, and his chances do not look good with the Golden Globes who barely showed the iconic show any love throughout its 7 season run. They even snubbed its final season from being nominated. The more likely winner is Rami Melek for two reasons: The Golden Globes love to award newcomers and they especially love to award newcomers from new shows.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Television Series – Drama
Will Win: Taraji P. Henson – Empire
Could Win: Caitriona Balfe – Outlander
Should Win: Taraji P. Henson – Empire
Taraji P. Henson is deliciously perfect in FOX’s Empire, practically stealing and commanding every scene she is in. It seems that she stands a good chance of winning, especially now that the Viola Davis and How to Get Away With Murder momentum has died down. Henson’s biggest competitor is Caitriona Balfe who may sneak in with a win depending on how much voters love Outlander.
Best Performance by an Actor in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy
Will Win: Jeffrey Tambor – Transparent
Could Win: Patrick Stewart – Blunt Talk
Should Win: Jeffrey Tambor – Transparent
It’s tough to win back-to-back Golden Globes, but it seems that Jeffrey Tambor has both the acting ability, the popular show, and the sentimentality to pull it off. A loss for Tambor in this category would be a shocker.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Television Series – Musical of Comedy
Will Win: Julia Louis-Dreyfus – Veep
Could Win: Lily Tomlin – Grace and Frankie
Should Win: Julia Louis-Dreyfus – Veep
On the surface, this seems like a relatively weak category that is primed for Julia Louis Dreyfus to win. Last year’s winner, Gina Rodriguez, is nominated but it would be surprising if she won again. Jamie Lee Curtis could potentially win, but it would be due to nostalgia since Scream Queens was critically panned throughout its run. This leaves Lily Tomlin, who could easily win with the sentimental vote. Expect Julia to win in this category, but brace for an upset.
Best Performance by an Actor in a Mini-Series or a Motion Picture Made for Television
Will Win: Patrick Wilson – Fargo
Could Win: David Oyelowo – Nightingale
Should Win: Mark Rylance – Wolf Hall
If voters are enamored with Fargo, as they likely will be, that will give Patrick Wilson the necessary push he needs to take home the win. However, David Oyelowo is a tremendous competitor with his one-man movie that was a stunning display of acting that voters may have a hard time ignoring.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Mini-Series or a Motion Picture Made for Television
Will Win: Lady Gaga – American Horror Story: Hotel
Could Win: Kristin Dunst – Fargo
Should Win: Kristin Dunst – Fargo
This is the one category begging for a shocking win to occur. Bluntly said, Kristin Dunst is the deserving nominee in this category and the award should go to her for the astonishing capability of acting she displayed throughout the Fargo mini-series. However, it is possible that voters, in an effort to keep the Golden Globes “relevant” with younger viewers, may opt to awarding Lady Gaga for her first genuine foray into acting. The singer’s acting was limited, yet diabolical in Hotel, to say the least, which may be off-putting to some voters, but the chance to award the “Bad Romance” singer may be too hard to resist.
Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Series, Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made for Television
Will Win: Ben Mendelsohn – Bloodline
Could Win: Tobias Menzies – Outlander
Should Win: Ben Mendelsohn – Bloodline
Ben Mendelsohn was one of the best things about Netflix’s hit series Bloodline. Mendelsohn was unjustly denied the Emmy back in September and this may be his opportunity to walk away a winner this time. However, Outlander should not be underestimated at all. If Golden Globe voters show love for Outlander, Tobias Menzies will be the winner in this category.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Series, Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made for Television
Will Win: Regina King – American Crime
Could Win: Judith Light – Transparent
Should Win: Judith Light – Transparent
Regina King, fresh from her Emmy win back in September, has the momentum to win again with the Golden Globes. Additionally, awarding King is an opportunity for the Golden Globes to acknowledge American Crime, which was a highly regarded television show this year. However, Judith Light has the sentiment vote on her side while also being a steady favorite with fans of Transparent. Judith Light is a definitive scene-stealer in the show, standing her own even in scenes with Jeffrey Tambor, and that is hard for any voter to ignore.
The Golden Globes air Sunday, January 10th at 8:00 PM ETS